Niagara
W-L: (13-23) PR = 96.2132Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.5) 5- 2 1010 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 2- 0 1011 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 5- 2 1017 A Union (22-14, 98.0) 2- 3 1018 A Union (22-14, 98.0) 0- 6 1031 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 2- 4 1101 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 3- 4 1107 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.2) 1- 5 1108 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.2) 2- 6 1114 H Army (12-17, 97.0) 6- 4 1115 H Army (12-17, 97.0) 4- 1 1118 H RIT (17-17, 96.9) 2- 1 1128 H RPI (11-23, 96.5) 1- 4 1129 H RPI (11-23, 96.5) 2- 3 1205 A Bentley (22-11, 97.8) 3- 1 1206 A Bentley (22-11, 97.8) 2- 3 103 H Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 2- 6 109 H Sacred Heart (23-13, 97.6) 4- 5 110 H Sacred Heart (23-13, 97.6) 2- 4 116 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 0- 3 117 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 2- 4 123 H RIT (17-17, 96.9) 2- 4 124 A RIT (17-17, 96.9) 3- 3 130 A Canisius (17-16, 96.8) 5- 3 131 H Canisius (17-16, 96.8) 3- 4 206 H Air Force (19-14, 97.3) 1- 2 207 H Air Force (19-14, 97.3) 4- 2 210 A RIT (17-17, 96.9) 1- 2 213 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 5- 2 214 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 1- 5 220 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 2- 3 221 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 3- 1 227 H Canisius (17-16, 96.8) 3- 2 228 A Canisius (17-16, 96.8) 1- 5 303 H Army (12-17, 97.0) 5- 4 306 A Sacred Heart (23-13, 97.6) 1- 3 307 A Sacred Heart (23-13, 97.6) 1- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 H St Lawrence 5- 2 3 1 1.87
1010 H Bowl Green 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.29
1011 H Bowl Green 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.29
1017 A Union 2- 3 -1 -2 1.16
1018 A Union 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.84
1031 A Rob Morris 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.22
1101 H Rob Morris 3- 4 -1 0 -0.94
1107 A Holy Cross 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.66
1108 A Holy Cross 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.66
1114 H Army 6- 4 2 0 + 2.46
1115 H Army 4- 1 3 0 + 3.46
1118 H RIT 2- 1 1 0 1.28
1128 H RPI 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.11
1129 H RPI 2- 3 -1 0 -1.11
1205 A Bentley 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.91
1206 A Bentley 2- 3 -1 -2 0.91
103 H Clarkson 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.12
109 H Sacred Heart 4- 5 -1 -1 0.01
110 H Sacred Heart 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.99
116 A Mercyhurst 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.33
117 H Mercyhurst 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.06
123 H RIT 2- 4 -2 0 -1.72
124 A RIT 3- 3 0 -1 1.01
130 A Canisius 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.92
131 H Canisius 3- 4 -1 0 -0.81
206 H Air Force 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.28
207 H Air Force 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.72
210 A RIT 1- 2 -1 -1 0.01
213 H Rob Morris 5- 2 3 0 + 3.06
214 A Rob Morris 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.22
220 A Mercyhurst 2- 3 -1 0 -1.33
221 H Mercyhurst 3- 1 2 1 0.94
227 H Canisius 3- 2 1 0 1.19
228 A Canisius 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.08
303 H Army 5- 4 1 0 1.46
306 A Sacred Heart 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.26
307 A Sacred Heart 1- 2 -1 -2 0.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A Union 0- 6 -6 -2 - -3.84 1107 A Holy Cross 1- 5 -4 -1 - -2.66 1108 A Holy Cross 2- 6 -4 -1 - -2.66 1128 H RPI 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.11 103 H Clarkson 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.12 116 A Mercyhurst 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.33 117 H Mercyhurst 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.06 214 A Rob Morris 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.22 228 A Canisius 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 H Bowl Green 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.29 1010 H Bowl Green 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.29 1114 H Army 6- 4 2 0 + 2.46 1115 H Army 4- 1 3 0 + 3.46 1205 A Bentley 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.91 130 A Canisius 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.92 207 H Air Force 4- 2 2 -1 + 2.72 213 H Rob Morris 5- 2 3 0 + 3.06 |
Niagara Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Air Force | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 3) | Air Force | |
| Army | Niagara | Niagara | ||
| Bentley | Bentley | Bentley 4- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Canisius | Canisius | insuffient: ( 4- 6)( 5- 4) | Canisius | |
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| RIT | RIT | RIT | ||
| Rob Morris | Rob Morris | Rob Morris | ||
| Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Ohio State | |
| Penn State | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) | Penn State | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Augustana | Augustana | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Augustana | |
| Bemidji St | Bemidji St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Bemidji St | |
| Bowl Green | Niagara | Niagara | ||
| Ferris St | Ferris St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ferris St | |
| L Superor | L Superor | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | L Superor | |
| Mich Tech | Mich Tech | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Mich Tech | |
| Minn St | Minn St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Minn St | |
| No Mich | Niagara | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Niagara | |
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Alaska | Alaska | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Alaska | |
| Alaska Anch | Niagara | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Niagara | |
| Lindenwood | Lindenwood | Lindenwood 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| LIU | LIU | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | LIU | |
| Stonehill | Stonehill | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Stonehill | |
| Brown | Niagara | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 4) | Niagara | |
| Clarkson | Clarkson | Clarkson | ||
| Colgate | Colgate | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 4) | Colgate | |
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) | Dartmouth | |
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 2) | Princeton | |
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac 4- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| RPI | RPI | RPI | ||
| St Lawrence | Niagara | Niagara | ||
| Union | Union | Union | ||
| Yale | Yale | Yale 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Boston Col | Boston Col | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boston Col | |
| Boston Univ | Boston Univ | Boston Univ | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Maine | Maine | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Maine | |
| UMass | UMass | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | UMass | |
| Merrimack | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Merrimack | |
| New Hamp | New Hamp | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | New Hamp | |
| Northeastern | Northeastern | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northeastern | |
| Providence | Providence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Providence | |
| UMass Lowell | UMass Lowell | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | UMass Lowell | |
| Vermont | Vermont | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Vermont | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Colorado Col | Colorado Col | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Colorado Col | |
| Denver | Denver | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Denver | |
| Miami | Miami | Miami 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| North Dakota | North Dakota | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Omaha | Omaha | Omaha | ||
| St Cloud St | St Cloud St | St Cloud St | ||
| Western Mich | Western Mich | Western Mich |
PowerWise = 6
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 35.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H St Lawrence ( 7-25, 95.5) 5- 2 -4.45 1.00 -0.36 0.97 1.23
0 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 2- 0 -2.03 2.42 -0.36 0.97 3.99
0 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.9) 5- 2 -2.03 2.42 -0.36 0.97 3.99
0 A Union (22-14, 98.0) 2- 3 -1.89 2.56 0.36 0.97 -0.74
0 A Union (22-14, 98.0) 0- 6 -1.89 2.56 0.36 0.97 -0.74
0 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.27 1.18 0.36 0.97 -1.41
0 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.27 1.18 -0.36 0.97 -1.76
0 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.2) 1- 5 -2.71 1.74 0.36 0.97 -1.14
0 A Holy Cross (18-18, 97.2) 2- 6 -2.71 1.74 0.36 0.97 -1.14
0 H Army (12-17, 97.0) 6- 4 -2.86 1.59 -0.36 0.97 2.38
0 H Army (12-17, 97.0) 4- 1 -2.86 1.59 -0.36 0.97 2.38
0 H RIT (17-17, 96.9) 2- 1 -3.04 1.41 -0.36 0.97 2.03
0 H RPI (11-23, 96.5) 1- 4 -3.43 1.02 -0.36 0.97 -1.84
0 H RPI (11-23, 96.5) 2- 3 -3.43 1.02 -0.36 0.97 -1.84
0 A Bentley (22-11, 97.8) 3- 1 -2.15 2.30 0.36 0.97 5.18
0 A Bentley (22-11, 97.8) 2- 3 -2.15 2.30 0.36 0.97 -0.86
0 H Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 2- 6 -2.44 2.00 -0.36 0.97 -1.36
0 H Sacred Heart (23-13, 97.6) 4- 5 -2.31 2.14 -0.36 0.97 -1.30
0 H Sacred Heart (23-13, 97.6) 2- 4 -2.31 2.14 -0.36 0.97 -1.30
0 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 0- 3 -4.38 1.00 0.36 0.97 -1.95
0 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 2- 4 -4.38 1.00 -0.36 0.97 -2.31
0 H RIT (17-17, 96.9) 2- 4 -3.04 1.41 -0.36 0.97 -1.65
0 A RIT (17-17, 96.9) 3- 3 -3.04 1.41 0.36 0.97 ********
0 A Canisius (17-16, 96.8) 5- 3 -3.13 1.32 0.36 0.97 3.28
0 H Canisius (17-16, 96.8) 3- 4 -3.13 1.32 -0.36 0.97 -1.70
0 H Air Force (19-14, 97.3) 1- 2 -2.60 1.85 -0.36 0.97 -1.44
0 H Air Force (19-14, 97.3) 4- 2 -2.60 1.85 -0.36 0.97 2.88
0 A RIT (17-17, 96.9) 1- 2 -3.04 1.41 0.36 0.97 -1.30
0 H Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 5- 2 -3.27 1.18 -0.36 0.97 1.59
0 A Rob Morris (17-20, 96.6) 1- 5 -3.27 1.18 0.36 0.97 -1.41
0 A Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 2- 3 -4.38 1.00 0.36 0.97 -1.95
0 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 3- 1 -4.38 1.00 -0.36 0.97 1.23
0 H Canisius (17-16, 96.8) 3- 2 -3.13 1.32 -0.36 0.97 1.86
0 A Canisius (17-16, 96.8) 1- 5 -3.13 1.32 0.36 0.97 -1.34
0 H Army (12-17, 97.0) 5- 4 -2.86 1.59 -0.36 0.97 2.38
0 A Sacred Heart (23-13, 97.6) 1- 3 -2.31 2.14 0.36 0.97 -0.94
0 A Sacred Heart (23-13, 97.6) 1- 2 -2.31 2.14 0.36 0.97 -0.94
------
********
|
winning pts = 34.4332 losing points = -32.3844
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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